Yearly Archives: 2018

Timing the Bottom on BCE
June 12, 2018
Bullish Outlook

Timing the Bottom on BCE

Patrick Ceresna

There is no shortage of analysts offering alternating fundamental outlooks for BCE (TSX:BCE).  Some concerned with the business model and declining growth rates, others proclaiming the BCE dividend stream to be more sound than owning bonds.  Personally, as a trader I look for the tactical play where I can profit from key...

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6 years ago
Selecting the Optimal Put Option
May 29, 2018
Technical analysis

Selecting the Optimal Put Option

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, the price of shares in CGI Group Inc. (GIB.A) has reached an all-time high. We can also see that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator and the stochastic oscillator (%K) are both in oversold territory. In the past, this has been followed by corrections that brought the stock price back down...

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6 years ago
Using call options as a hedge
May 16, 2018
Protection

Using call options as a hedge

Martin Noël

As can be seen in the following chart, the share price of ONEX Corporation (ONEX) has been weak enough to suggest that some caution may be necessary. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which was recently in oversold territory, is trending downward. The same is true of the stochastic oscillator (%K). Although the scope of the...

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6 years ago
Beginner’s guide to options trading
May 10, 2018
Concepts

Beginner’s guide to options trading

Montréal Exchange

If you’ve been trading stocks, you should have a pretty good understanding of the mechanics of buying and selling. Getting started with options trading is fairly simple. Here are a few things to know to get started.   Step 1: Setting up an options account with your broker The options account can be in a margin or...

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6 years ago
A Bullish Position to Optimize Risk-Reward
April 25, 2018
Bullish Outlook

A Bullish Position to Optimize Risk-Reward

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, shares in Royal Bank of Canada (RY) veered into correction territory after peaking at $108.52 on January 22, 2018. At the current price of $97.98, the security is down by over 9.7%. With the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator on the rise and the stochastic oscillator (%K) indicating that the...

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6 years ago
Is Gold Breaking Out of its 4-Year Consolidation?
April 24, 2018
Volatility

Is Gold Breaking Out of its 4-Year Consolidation?

Patrick Ceresna

Over the last few years I have not been shy about my conviction that the gold bear market has ended.  There is no denying that the December 2015 lows for gold bullion at $1050.00 are now history, but the enthusiasm for the shiny metal has been left for the diehards as most of the speculative money has turned its attention to...

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6 years ago
The Da Vinci Code: The hidden messages within the option chains
April 20, 2018
Concepts

The Da Vinci Code: The hidden messages within the option chains

Montréal Exchange

Traders are very opinionated and have their own view on everything. This is why we have a market of buyers and sellers. Otherwise, everyone would be on the same side of the trade. This behaviour is built over time from experience and knowledge. You can do it too. For example, you are able to tell if the stock is trending up or...

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6 years ago
Taking Advantage of Time Decay With a Mixed Ratio Spread
April 16, 2018
Neutral Outlook

Taking Advantage of Time Decay With a Mixed Ratio Spread

Martin Noël

As you can see in the chart below, the price of Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP) stock has stayed within a range of $215 to $240 since October 2017 and $190 to $240 over the last 12 months. While the price could fall back down to $190, equal to a drop of nearly $35 from the current level ($224.16), we also believe that a...

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Real Estate, Canadian Banks and Downside Risks
March 28, 2018
Risk Management

Real Estate, Canadian Banks and Downside Risks

Patrick Ceresna

I want to take a dive into the most passionately debated issue of a correction in Canadian real estate and the impact on Canadian banks.  The general consensus is that over the long-term home prices will continue to rise and the risks directly to the banks are limited as mortgage default risk predominantly sit with the...

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6 years ago
Writing put options on a support level
March 27, 2018
Bullish Outlook

Writing put options on a support level

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, the share price of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) has been trending downward since the beginning of 2018. When markets closed on Friday, March 23, CM was trading at $114.07. But as we can see, a price range of $112 to $114 has represented a support level from which prices surged twice....

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6 years ago
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