Bearish Outlook

Minimizing Your Risk with Vertical Debit Spreads
August 14, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Minimizing Your Risk with Vertical Debit Spreads

Tony Zhang

What are debit spreads? Placing a trade on the direction of a stock using options typically requires purchasing a call or put option. When purchasing options, the largest headwind is erosion of the extrinsic value of an option over time. This is measured by the option’s theta. For a strategy to be profitable, one must predict...

109
0
Like
4 days ago
Maximize Returns and Minimize Losses in a Recession

May 28, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Maximize Returns and Minimize Losses in a Recession


Jason Ayres

Canadian investors continue to watch both domestic and global economic data closely as fears of a recession loom. According to Statistics Canada in their March 1st , 2019 release “Growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) slowed to 0.1% in the fourth quarter, the slowest pace since the second quarter of 2016”   See...

427
0
Like
3 months ago
Strategy to profit from the tensions with China
December 18, 2018
Bearish Outlook

Strategy to profit from the tensions with China

Martin Noël

Recent events in the news have led us to analyze a stock discussed in our last article. As the following chart shows, the price of shares in Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS) has plummeted by over 20% in the turmoil surrounding the Huawei affair in which, following the arrest of Huawei’s Chief Financial Officer, China called for a...

807
0
1
8 months ago
How to turn a profit with puts following a technical rejection
October 11, 2018
Bearish Outlook

How to turn a profit with puts following a technical rejection

Martin Noël

How to turn a profit with puts following a technical rejection As the following chart shows, the price of shares in Linamar Corporation (LNR) surged to a resistance level of $65 after a free trade agreement was reached with the U.S., and it has since been on a steady decline. This response, which does not bode well, could bring...

771
2
Like
10 months ago
Purchasing put options based on a bearish flag
August 14, 2018
Bearish Outlook

Purchasing put options based on a bearish flag

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, in July 2018, Shopify Inc. cl. A (SHOP) reached a double peak at around $230. This slowed its momentum, with the stock subsequently falling to $172.90 to climb back up to its current level, $195.81, by Friday, August 10, 2018. This rally, which looks very much like a bearish flag, may be...

958
0
1
1 year ago
Setting up a bear call spread hedge using call options
July 04, 2018
Bearish Outlook

Setting up a bear call spread hedge using call options

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, the price of shares in Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP) has just fallen below its 13 and 34-day moving averages and appears to be stabilizing at around $240. The graphs also show that the stochastic oscillator (the bottom graph) is clearly trending downward. Even though the stock may rally, it...

906
2
2
1 year ago
A bearish diagonal spread on shares in George Weston Ltd.
February 20, 2018
Bearish Outlook

A bearish diagonal spread on shares in George Weston Ltd.

Martin Noël

As the following graph shows, prices for shares of George Weston Ltd. (WN) have broken below their trough of last September 2017 following a timid attempt at a rebound that lasted four months. Since peaking in January, 2018, WN has followed the general market trend by dropping swiftly, but the rally, which has been anemic, has...

1002
0
Like
1 year ago
Make the Most of a Decline in Canadian Pacific Railway Limited shares
November 21, 2017
Bearish Outlook

Make the Most of a Decline in Canadian Pacific Railway Limited shares

Martin Noël

As you can see in the chart below, the price of Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP) stock is beginning to show the signs of what looks very much like the early stages of a correction. It is clear that the MACD and RSI indicators and the stochastic oscillator are all in marked decline. If this is the case, the price may fall...

1074
0
Like
2 years ago
Purchasing put options or selling call options to protect oneself?
April 11, 2017
Bearish Outlook

Purchasing put options or selling call options to protect oneself?

Martin Noël

Is it better to purchase put options or to sell call options for protection against loss? Many investors ask this question but, in this as in many areas, there is no single right answer. As we have seen in earlier articles, purchasing options has one major disadvantage: the erosion of the time value that must be counterbalanced...

2193
0
2
2 years ago
Is the Extreme Bullish Speculation in Oil a Warning?
February 06, 2017
Bearish Outlook

Is the Extreme Bullish Speculation in Oil a Warning?

Patrick Ceresna

The OPEC agreement to cut production back in late 2016 ushered in a further wave of enthusiasm that pushed oil and the energy sector higher, with the belief that the oil bear market was over and long gone. Coupled with the Trump reflation trade enthusiasm, we have witnessed a very strong finish in 2016. The price of WTI oil...

1414
0
Like
3 years ago