Bearish Outlook

Bear Call Spread in the XIU Market
September 09, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Bear Call Spread in the XIU Market

Patrick Ceresna

The stock market has rallied a long way from the March lows. The iShares S&P/TSX Equity 60 ETF (symbol XIU) is up almost $8 from that scary day on March 23, 2020 when the market reached bottom. The rally has been steady, with few pullbacks. However, it is completely natural to expect that, eventually, there will be a...

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2 weeks ago
Stock Repair Strategy Using Options
July 30, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Stock Repair Strategy Using Options

Patrick Ceresna

The coronavirus crisis seemed to come out of nowhere. It caught retail and professional investors off guard equally. Almost overnight many stocks fell by more than 25%, and although some have managed to recoup their losses over the past few months, many have not. What is an investor to do in such an environment? One could...

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2 months ago
Harvesting Premium By Shorting Out-of-the-money Calls
July 30, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Harvesting Premium By Shorting Out-of-the-money Calls

Patrick Ceresna

Have you ever been in the fortunate position of holding a stock that had rallied a long way, but you were concerned it had gone too far too fast, yet you did not want to sell your position? Or, have you ever thought that the market would go sideways for a while, and you did not expect your stocks to rally? Maybe you have seen...

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2 months ago
Using options in times of market uncertainty
July 07, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Using options in times of market uncertainty

Martin Noël

In times of market uncertainty like we are seeing now, many investors turn to options for the protection they can provide. Although the markets have recouped a good portion of their losses of the past few months, we cannot rule out another plunge that could test the depths of the recent decline. The high volatility in today’s...

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3 months ago
Profiting from the second-wave downturn
April 30, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Profiting from the second-wave downturn

Martin Noël

In a bear market, the lows of the first market downturn are often retested following a rally like the one we have just seen. This article examines how put options can be used to maximize the return on a bearish projection. As can be seen in the following chart, the unit price of the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index...

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5 months ago
Making the most of volatility in these uncertain times
March 26, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Making the most of volatility in these uncertain times

Martin Noël

In our last article we discussed how to reduce the risk associated with the time-value decay of options in a directional position. Now we will take advantage of the market meltdown to discuss the implied volatility in the price of an option, how it reflects the degree of market uncertainty over future price movements in the...

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6 months ago
Reduce the Risk Associated with Time Value Decay
March 02, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Reduce the Risk Associated with Time Value Decay

Martin Noël

Reduce the risk associated with time value decay In this article, we will examine how to reduce the risk associated with the time value decay of options in a directional position, as well as how this affects the strategy’s payoff profile. As can be seen in the following chart, the price of shares in BCE Inc. (BCE) have...

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7 months ago
Hedging with Delta
January 14, 2020
Bearish Outlook

Hedging with Delta

Martin Noël

As can be seen in the following chart, the price of shares in National Bank of Canada (NA) recently peaked at $73.22, representing an increase of 21.85% in 110 days, for an annualized rate of return of 72.50%. It is unlikely that this pace of growth can be sustained over an extended period of time. In addition, there are signs...

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9 months ago
Writing covered call options to profit from a period of consolidation
December 03, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Writing covered call options to profit from a period of consolidation

Martin Noël

As can be seen in the following graph, the price trend for shares in the Canadian National Railway Company (CNR) appears to have faltered. The stochastic oscillator indicator has just fallen below 75, much like it did in June 2019. At that time, the price of CNR stayed in a channel for many weeks. As long as the oscillator...

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10 months ago
Covered Calls: Managing Risk Exposure and Generating Value During Volatile Times
September 06, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Covered Calls: Managing Risk Exposure and Generating Value During Volatile Times

Antonio Cabeda

Key facts on covered calls This strategy consists of writing a call that is covered by an equivalent long stock position. It represents a simple way for investors to manage their short-term risk exposure, allowing them to earn premium income (i.e. the money received from writing the calls) in return for part of the stock’s...

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1 year ago
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