Bullish Outlook

A Twist on Risk Reversals
July 10, 2020
Bullish Outlook

A Twist on Risk Reversals

Patrick Ceresna

The past few months have been challenging for investors. During the first month of the coronavirus crisis, the stock market fell from record highs with unprecedented speed. Meanwhile, the subsequent rally has been just as befuddling to many. Canada’s most liquid stock index ETF, the XIU, plunged from $27 to $17 (a loss of...

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1 month ago
Put-Writing Strategies in the Canadian Market
April 13, 2020
Bullish Outlook

Put-Writing Strategies in the Canadian Market

Patrick Ceresna

The coronavirus crisis has caused massive sell-offs in global equity markets throughout the world.  Canada has not been immune, and our benchmark large-cap S&P TSX 60 Index has lost over 36% from its February high.   CHART 1 – S&P/TSX60 Source: Bloomberg   A move of this magnitude from new highs to a...

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4 months ago
Shares in Uranium Participation Corp are trading at a discount
February 20, 2020
Bullish Outlook

Shares in Uranium Participation Corp are trading at a discount

Patrick Ceresna

Uranium Participation Corporation (Symbol U on the TSX exchange) is a company that invests in uranium. Uranium presents an attractive investment opportunity at this time. The commodity itself is currently trading at below the cost of production for most miners, a situation that cannot continue indefinitely. Eventually companies...

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6 months ago
Year-End Opportunity in Cannabis Stocks?
January 07, 2020
Bullish Outlook

Year-End Opportunity in Cannabis Stocks?

Patrick Ceresna

Through 2018 and into the first quarter of 2019, Canadian marijuana companies represented one of the hottest sectors in the equities market.  However, since its March 19, 2019 high of $23.87, the Horizons Marijuana Life Science ETF (HMMJ) has been on a steady decline, and by November 19, 2019 it was down to $8.34, having lost...

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7 months ago
Generating Income with Credit Vertical Spreads
August 29, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Generating Income with Credit Vertical Spreads

Tony Zhang

Credit spreads are a popular strategy that is used to generate income with limited risk from a modest bullish, bearish or even neutral view on a stock or ETF. Many investors are attracted to writing higher delta options because of the higher premiums, but it is important to understand the tradeoff, which is that this will risk...

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12 months ago
Minimizing Your Risk with Vertical Debit Spreads
August 14, 2019
Bearish Outlook

Minimizing Your Risk with Vertical Debit Spreads

Tony Zhang

What are debit spreads? Placing a trade on the direction of a stock using options typically requires purchasing a call or put option. When purchasing options, the largest headwind is erosion of the extrinsic value of an option over time. This is measured by the option’s theta. For a strategy to be profitable, one must predict...

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12 months ago
Renting the Upside of the Canadian Markets
April 12, 2019
Bullish Outlook

Renting the Upside of the Canadian Markets

Patrick Ceresna

The uncertainty for Canadian investors has everything to do with the confusing crosscurrents of a rising stock market but simultaneously a weakening Canadian economy. The outlook for the weakening economy comes right from the top, where the Bank of Canada came out with its rate statement on March 6. The BoC took a dovish...

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1 year ago
Navigating a Slippery Slope
November 28, 2018
Bullish Outlook

Navigating a Slippery Slope

Jason Ayres

As I begin to write, oil has suffered a precipitous top to bottom (bottom? maybe) decline of over 30% from the high this year.   What drove it higher? The most common answer has been the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Iran.  This caused significant concern of a shortage in supply. A market fearful of an oil shortage...

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2 years ago
Getting Paid With the Intention of Buying Shares
October 25, 2018
Bullish Outlook

Getting Paid With the Intention of Buying Shares

Martin Noël

As the following chart shows, the price of shares in Canadian Tire Corporation Limited, Cl. A (CTC.A) plunged 20.6%, from a peak of $183.93 on August 8 to its recent trough at $146.08 on October 11. It has since climbed to just above $150, allowing us to use this trough as a short-term support level. An investor who is...

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2 years ago
Commitment to Buy Stock Through a Ratio Spread
September 25, 2018
Bullish Outlook

Commitment to Buy Stock Through a Ratio Spread

Martin Noël

As you can see in the following chart, the price of shares in Canopy Growth Corporation (WEED) appears to be stabilizing, for now, in a range between a high of $74.45 reached on September 5, 2018 and its most recent low of $52.80, reached on September 14. We can also see that its high of $48.72 on June 22 may represent a...

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2 years ago
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