Currency Options University – Part 2
Part 2: Impact of U.S. Dollar Fluctuation on Canadian Returns I had the opportunity, early in my career, to work at a full-service brokerage at a Tier 1 Canadian bank. I remember back in the day overhearing an investment advisor having an argument with a client about the client’s performance. The client was questioning the...
Currency Options University – Part 1
Part 1: Welcome to the world of currencies It is very common for Canadian investors to invest in American stocks. Yet, it is surprising how few retail investors understand the impact currency fluctuations have on their returns. More often than not, investors look at the price fluctuation of an asset price assuming a constant...
Perspective on the Volatility on Cannabis Stocks
Speculation is enthusiastically running wild in the Canadian cannabis industry over the last 2 years. This has led to extraordinary volatility and gains for investors who seek a stake in the industry. For this article I will refrain from offering my opinions to the merits of this investment and rather focus on sizing up the...
Resource Investing with Long-term Options
Old Truism: “A bear market is the author of a bull market and a bull market is the author of a bear market”. During our interview on MacroVoices with resource investing legend Rick Rule, Rick made a core observation that natural resource investing is different than most mainstream forms of investing. To paraphrase,...
Timing the Bottom on BCE
There is no shortage of analysts offering alternating fundamental outlooks for BCE (TSX:BCE). Some concerned with the business model and declining growth rates, others proclaiming the BCE dividend stream to be more sound than owning bonds. Personally, as a trader I look for the tactical play where I can profit from key...
Is Gold Breaking Out of its 4-Year Consolidation?
Over the last few years I have not been shy about my conviction that the gold bear market has ended. There is no denying that the December 2015 lows for gold bullion at $1050.00 are now history, but the enthusiasm for the shiny metal has been left for the diehards as most of the speculative money has turned its attention to...
Real Estate, Canadian Banks and Downside Risks
I want to take a dive into the most passionately debated issue of a correction in Canadian real estate and the impact on Canadian banks. The general consensus is that over the long-term home prices will continue to rise and the risks directly to the banks are limited as mortgage default risk predominantly sit with the...
Perspective on Trading Options on Natural Resource Companies
After our interview with Rick Rule on MacroVoices, I was inspired to share my thoughts on options trading on natural resource companies. At the start of the interview Rick pointed out the unusually cyclical nature of resource investing. Rick went on to elaborate: “…during periods of time when mature natural resource...
Risks Stemming from Current Low Volatility Conditions
Over the last year we have seen an incredible period of low volatility that is arguably building systematic liquidity risks when we enter a period of normalization. These risks were highlighted in the Bank of Canada’s November 2017 Financial System Review. In that review, the BoC discussed the assessment of...
Have the Tides Turned for the Troubled Goldcorp?
The last few years have been a struggle for Goldcorp investors. The company has been overshadowed by declines in earnings, falling gold production and increased costs. Many investors have abandoned the stock for other gold miners with more momentum. Yet there are a number of green shoots that suggest the management is...
Patrick Ceresna
Derivatives Market Specialist
Big Picture Trading Inc.
124 posts
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