Will Gold Miners Glitter Again?
This week ushers in a wave of 3rd quarter earnings for many of the large cap gold stocks in Canada. We reference the term large cap loosely as the gold bear market of the last 4 years has wiped out the market capitalization of many gold miner darlings. In some cases 75% or more from their peak values. During that bloodletting,...
Creating Income from Franco-Nevada
To say that the gold mining sector has underperformed over the last 3-4 years is a significant understatement. The sentiment in the group has never been more negative as some darling gold miners have lost more than 90% of their value. Yet, in that environment, one gold company has been able to stand strong like the Rock of...
Have We Seen the Market Bottom?
The last two weeks have seen material volatility as we had a serious market decline and substantial rebound in stocks. Much of the blame has been pointed toward China, but there is no denying the material declines in all global markets. The VIXC, which is the Canadian measure of implied volatility on the Canadian markets spiked...
Interested in a potential 50% Return on Teck Resources?
Before we get into the juicy numbers of the options trade, it is important to put some perspective on Teck Resources and where it is at. Teck Resources is one of Canada’s premier basic material stocks. The company has global operations in copper, coal, zinc, lead, molybdenum, gold, silver and various chemicals/fertilizers....
Hedging Canadian Market Risks
In full disclosure, it is my intention to be contentious in my views as I am disappointed by the lack of diverging opinions. The Canadian economy is in trouble and it is likely to get far worse than better and it is unlikely that the passage of time will fix the problem. Here are some simple truths you must consider when...
Hedging the Canadian Economic Recovery
On February 24, 2015, Stephan Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada made the following statement: “The negative effects of lower oil prices hit the economy right away, and the various positives—more exports because of a stronger U.S. economy and a lower dollar, and more consumption spending as households spend less on...
Have the Rail Stocks Been Derailed?
The past 4 years have been great for railway stocks. The boom in energy and exportation of resources since 2011 has seen revenues and profits soaring. Investors that participated in this story have been handsomely rewarded with stocks like Canadian Pacific Railway having risen 400% off of its 2011 lows. While I do not want to...
Hedging the Currency Impact on Canadian Stocks
Canadian investors started the year with a pleasant surprise as the Canadian market and many Canadian stocks performed relatively well. We suggest a little digression to understand the precipitating factors that have driven this rise. Over the last 6 months, we have seen a dynamic shift in Canadian economics. Canada has been...
Is the Divergence in Gold an Opportunity?
Gold has drawn my attention this month, not just because of the rise, but the conditions from which the rise is occurring. I pride myself on being a student of intermarket relationships within the markets. One of the key pillars of intermarket analysis is the understanding of the inverse correlation of the U.S. Dollar to...
Using Stock Cycles For Covered Call Writing
As a Chartered Market Technician I spend considerable time exploring the quantitative side of stock and broader market cycles to find periods of statistical advantage. For investors it is often simply trying to maximize the returns from a longer term holding. I have found that there is considerable value in enhancing investment...
Patrick Ceresna
Derivatives Market Specialist
Big Picture Trading Inc.
91 posts
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