Hedging Canadian Market Risks
In full disclosure, it is my intention to be contentious in my views as I am disappointed by the lack of diverging opinions. The Canadian economy is in trouble and it is likely to get far worse than better and it is unlikely that the passage of time will fix the problem. Here are some simple truths you must consider when...
Hedging the Canadian Economic Recovery
On February 24, 2015, Stephan Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada made the following statement: “The negative effects of lower oil prices hit the economy right away, and the various positives—more exports because of a stronger U.S. economy and a lower dollar, and more consumption spending as households spend less on...
Have the Rail Stocks Been Derailed?
The past 4 years have been great for railway stocks. The boom in energy and exportation of resources since 2011 has seen revenues and profits soaring. Investors that participated in this story have been handsomely rewarded with stocks like Canadian Pacific Railway having risen 400% off of its 2011 lows. While I do not want to...
Hedging the Currency Impact on Canadian Stocks
Canadian investors started the year with a pleasant surprise as the Canadian market and many Canadian stocks performed relatively well. We suggest a little digression to understand the precipitating factors that have driven this rise. Over the last 6 months, we have seen a dynamic shift in Canadian economics. Canada has been...
Is the Divergence in Gold an Opportunity?
Gold has drawn my attention this month, not just because of the rise, but the conditions from which the rise is occurring. I pride myself on being a student of intermarket relationships within the markets. One of the key pillars of intermarket analysis is the understanding of the inverse correlation of the U.S. Dollar to...
Using Stock Cycles For Covered Call Writing
As a Chartered Market Technician I spend considerable time exploring the quantitative side of stock and broader market cycles to find periods of statistical advantage. For investors it is often simply trying to maximize the returns from a longer term holding. I have found that there is considerable value in enhancing investment...
Irrefutable Testament To The Value of Put Protection
First off I wanted to say thank you to all the Toronto Options Education Day attendees for a warm welcome, it was a pleasure to meet all of you. Recently the stock markets have increasingly become volatile as almost all Canadian sectors have gone through a healthy profit taking cycle. This gives us the opportunity to reference...
Trading Volatility
It is common for traders that are new to options to make many of their trading decisions based solely on the prediction of the price move. While the price move is an important component of the overall success, the ultimate profitability is dramatically impacted by volatility pricing. Implied volatility is materially different...
Is there any Fuel left in the Energy Sector Bull Advance?
Canadian energy stocks have been bulling higher for most of the year. The iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF is up 18.68% year-to-date (as of Aug 28). This renewed strength in the energy stocks has been a major contributor to the robust bull market advance in the broader Canadian indices. Can the energy stocks keep rising?...
Patrick Ceresna
Derivatives Market Specialist
Big Picture Trading Inc.
83 posts
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