no-cover
January 16, 2015
Other

Is the Divergence in Gold an Opportunity?

Gold has drawn my attention this month, not just because of the rise, but the conditions from which the rise is occurring. I pride myself on being a student of intermarket relationships within the markets. One of the key pillars of intermarket analysis is the understanding of the inverse correlation of the U.S. Dollar to...

872
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5 years ago
no-cover
December 03, 2014
Other

Using Stock Cycles For Covered Call Writing

As a Chartered Market Technician I spend considerable time exploring the quantitative side of stock and broader market cycles to find periods of statistical advantage. For investors it is often simply trying to maximize the returns from a longer term holding. I have found that there is considerable value in enhancing investment...

1003
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5 years ago
no-cover
October 29, 2014
Other

Irrefutable Testament To The Value of Put Protection

First off I wanted to say thank you to all the Toronto Options Education Day attendees for a warm welcome, it was a pleasure to meet all of you. Recently the stock markets have increasingly become volatile as almost all Canadian sectors have gone through a healthy profit taking cycle. This gives us the opportunity to reference...

895
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5 years ago
no-cover
September 24, 2014
Other

Trading Volatility

It is common for traders that are new to options to make many of their trading decisions based solely on the prediction of the price move. While the price move is an important component of the overall success, the ultimate profitability is dramatically impacted by volatility pricing. Implied volatility is materially different...

949
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5 years ago
no-cover
September 23, 2014
Other

Patrick Ceresna’s OED Presentation

The Unintended Consequences of...

862
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5 years ago
no-cover
August 29, 2014
Other

Is there any Fuel left in the Energy Sector Bull Advance?

Canadian energy stocks have been bulling higher for most of the year. The iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETF is up 18.68% year-to-date (as of Aug 28). This renewed strength in the energy stocks has been a major contributor to the robust bull market advance in the broader Canadian indices. Can the energy stocks keep rising?...

912
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5 years ago
no-cover
August 01, 2014
Other

Can the Canadian Bull Market Continue?

The S&P/TSX60 closed at 890.00 the other day. The market is now just 10 points away from the 900 level, which also corresponds with the 2008 all-time high prior to the great bear market that wiped out 50% of the value of the index. This leaves many investors asking the question: will the S&P/TSX60 be able to make...

746
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5 years ago
no-cover
June 30, 2014
Other

Why I am Dumping my Magna Shares

Ok, I have to admit I used the word “dumping” to get your attention. This is not a bear rant on a good company but rather a strategic maneuver to create a favorable risk/reward proposition. In fact, what I will demonstrate is my rationale for replacing the stock with call options. Here are some facts about the stock: Magna...

750
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6 years ago
no-cover
May 30, 2014
Other

Insurance for your Insurance Stocks

For any keen market observer, it is hard to have missed the relative under-performance of the Canadian insurance stocks vs. the Canadian bank stocks. This divergence comes to a surprise to many investors that felt the stocks would rise together in the pronounced bull market. So what could be some of the underlying precipitating...

732
0
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6 years ago
no-cover
April 30, 2014
Other

Defining Risk in the Energy Stocks

The Canadian energy sector began 2014 with a bullish advance that has seen many of the stocks rise 20+%. Clearly there is a bullish buzz unlocking the low valuations we have seen on these stocks over the last few years. The big question…is this sustainable? The Bull Argument: 1. Attractive valuations 2. Attractive dividends...

681
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6 years ago