protection
Impact of the Exchange Rate on Our Investments in the United States
Martin Noël
Given our proximity to the United States and/or for purposes of geographic diversification, many investors have investments in their portfolios that are priced in U.S. dollars. As with all investments, U.S. equities carry market risk, and it is important to carefully analyze securities so as to minimize, as much as possible,...
Writing Call Options to Protect a Position
Martin Noël
As the following graph shows, shares in the Bank of Montreal (BMO) has been in correction territory since falling below the 13 and 34-day moving averages. The stock’s last rally toward $101 is similar to one near the end of November 2018, just before the stock plummeted by almost 14% in the space of a few weeks. Furthermore,...
Delta: Assessing Probabilities Based on the Break-even price
Martin Noël
As we saw in an earlier article, delta measures how much an option’s price moves in relation to a change in the price of the underlying asset. Delta is a variable from the Black-Scholes option pricing model, and it is also used in the industry as an approximation of the probability that the option will be in-the-money at...
Purchasing Put Options or Selling Call Options to Protect Oneself? (Third and Last Part)
Martin Noël
In the two previous articles, we compared purchasing put options as a protective strategy with selling covered call options. The first article used options with monthly expirations, and the second article used options expiring after our period of analysis, from April 17, 2015 to January 22, 2016. In both cases, the analysis led...
Purchasing put options or selling call options to protect oneself? (Part 2)
Martin Noël
In the last article, we compared purchasing put options with selling call options. We reached the conclusion that, in the absence of a known target price and timeframe, it is better to use strategies that take advantage of the decaying time value of options, such as selling call options, as protection against a decline in the...
Is the Extreme Bullish Speculation in Oil a Warning?
Patrick Ceresna
The OPEC agreement to cut production back in late 2016 ushered in a further wave of enthusiasm that pushed oil and the energy sector higher, with the belief that the oil bear market was over and long gone. Coupled with the Trump reflation trade enthusiasm, we have witnessed a very strong finish in 2016. The price of WTI oil...
Fading the Trump Hysteria
Patrick Ceresna
The stock markets are first and foremost a behavioral exercise. Investors are always trying to price in the future – 6 to 9 months in advance. To put that statement into perspective, one must recognize that the market is therefore driven by perceptions and assumptions more than it is about realized certainties. That...
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