Bearish Outlook
Real Estate, Canadian Banks and Downside Risks
Patrick Ceresna
I want to take a dive into the most passionately debated issue of a correction in Canadian real estate and the impact on Canadian banks. The general consensus is that over the long-term home prices will continue to rise and the risks directly to the banks are limited as mortgage default risk predominantly sit with the...
Making the most of a lower price for shares of Dollarama Inc.
Martin Noël
As the following graph shows, the share price of Dollarama Inc. (DOL) fell $22.60, from a high of $170.00 reached on January 29 to a low of $147.40 on February 9, 2018. DOL then rallied to $158.97, right up to the level of its moving averages. Since then, the stock has been below its moving averages, and if it continues to...
A bearish diagonal spread on shares in George Weston Ltd.
Martin Noël
As the following graph shows, prices for shares of George Weston Ltd. (WN) have broken below their trough of last September 2017 following a timid attempt at a rebound that lasted four months. Since peaking in January, 2018, WN has followed the general market trend by dropping swiftly, but the rally, which has been anemic, has...
5 Potential Canadian Market Surprises for 2018
Patrick Ceresna
What better way to wrap up the 2017 year than with a market forecast. As a trader, I always look at a forecast as establishing a baseline from which to build investment themes for the upcoming year. The obstacle however, lies in that there is substantial herding in economic forecasting and rarely does an analyst stick their...
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