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Technical Backlash
Richard Croft
The year has been challenging for technicians. That’s the abbreviated term for technical analysts who attempt to predict market moves based on chart patterns. In the old days – twenty years ago – I use to kid that technical analysts did two things well; 1) they always provided an explanation as to why markets did not move...
Beware Volatility
Jason Ayres
Option traders have been enjoying a period of low implied volatility for quite some time now. Periods of low implied volatility make option buying attractive as premiums trade at relative lows comparative to periods when implied volatility is high. In order to understand the implied volatility variable, we first have to...
A Goldilocks’ Bear Call Spread
Richard Croft
The US Jobs report that was released on Friday painted an almost perfect goldilocks scenario. Something for everyone! Enough new jobs were created to support the thesis that the US economy is growing, albeit at a tepid pace. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose from 7.5% to 7.6% as more people entered the labour force....
Is Japan a precursor of what’s to come?
Richard Croft
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index, the broadest measure of blue chip stocks in Japan, fell more than 7% during the Thursday (i.e. Wednesday night in North America) trading session, providing investors with another data point evidencing the fickle nature of sentiment and perhaps, more importantly, the influential role of hedge funds in...
China’s Ghost
Richard Croft
Word from China is sending mixed messages to the world. GDP appears to be picking up particularly over the last quarter. Good news for a world in dire need of stimulus! At issue is what’s behind the growth? The debate centers around a massive infrastructure construction boom that has lead to overcapacity in residential real...
Hedging a Portfolio Against a Broad Market Decline
Jason Ayres
As we traveled across Canada over the last month on behalf of the M-X, I met many retail investors concerned about the markets and the fate of their portfolios. While some were concerned about the risk associated with individual holdings, many were skeptical as to how much longer the stock market in general could hold up. While...
The European Union Has Changed Its Focus
Richard Croft
Since the European Union (EU) bailout programs began there has been an austerity pre-condition. Mostly the result of German strong arm tactics designed to get member States to restructure social programs so as to level the playing field in a way that supports a single eurozone currency. The challenge is how does one deal with...
Buy on a Dip!
Richard Croft
Watch the financial news, search the Internet, read the financial press and the most common theme coming from those who are supposedly “in the know” is that the US stock market is ahead of itself. And while those same talking heads are longer term bullish most are waiting for pullbacks to put new money to work. In other...
Bet on Barrick Gold
Jason Ayres
Barrick Gold Corp (TSX:ABX) has suffered the same consequences as many of its counterparts in the mining sector. To blame the most recent drop in gold would be misguided. While Barrick suffered a 33% drop in a little under a week on the heels of the gold sell off, the fact is that the downtrend was already well in place. One...
Strangling CIBC?
Patrick Ceresna
The last 2 months have been nothing short of a roller-coaster ride for Canadian investors. For most of 2013, the resource stocks have been struggling while the bank stocks were a glimpse of hope. That was short lived as February rolled in as a new round of selling started pressuring the darling Canadian banks. We have now seen...
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