Yearly Archives: 2015
Interested in a potential 50% Return on Teck Resources?
Patrick Ceresna
Before we get into the juicy numbers of the options trade, it is important to put some perspective on Teck Resources and where it is at. Teck Resources is one of Canada’s premier basic material stocks. The company has global operations in copper, coal, zinc, lead, molybdenum, gold, silver and various chemicals/fertilizers....
CANADA – Recession Worries!
Richard Croft
Probably the most noteworthy event in the first half of 2015 was the surprise rate cut issued by the Bank of Canada (BoC) in the first quarter. It was designed to provide “insurance against a downturn” in light of the sharp decline in oil prices. The BoC was right to be concerned. Unfortunately policymakers underestimated...
Capitalizing on a Valeant Effort in a Mundane Market
Jason Ayres
I apologize for the title but I couldn’t resist. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International (TSE:VRX) continues to defy broader market complacency. The diversified pharmaceutical company has barely wavered in its price advance since August of 2014. While this trend may be getting a little long in the tooth,...
The Time Horizon Chasm
Richard Croft
For the first half of 2015 global financial markets have been obsessed with short term noise. We have witnessed a succession of exacerbated reactions to on again off again negotiations with Greece, waste of time debates on the timing of a Fed rate hike or endless dissections of monthly jobs data where 20% revisions are more the...
A Synthetic Long Stock Strategy For Canadian Banks
Jason Ayres
Canadian bank stocks have been somewhat unfavorable this year. Concerns about the Canadian economy, the impact of low oil prices and the pressure on lending margins from lower interest rates have had many investors questioning just how much more upside can be expected. The chart below is a snap shot of the weekly price action...
Playing the Weak Loonie
Richard Croft
The Canadian dollar has fallen on hard times. The Canadian dollar tends to follow West Texas Crude so it’s not surprising to see our Loonie trading close to 80 cents US. With lower Canadian interest rates and a US rate hike all but assured the Loonie may week stay in its current range for some time. If you buy into that...
Hedging Canadian Market Risks
Patrick Ceresna
In full disclosure, it is my intention to be contentious in my views as I am disappointed by the lack of diverging opinions. The Canadian economy is in trouble and it is likely to get far worse than better and it is unlikely that the passage of time will fix the problem. Here are some simple truths you must consider when...
Understanding How to Exit before you Enter
Richard Croft
Option trading is rarely static. Cost / benefit metrics can change quickly causing one to rethink whether the initial assessment underpinning a trade is still in play. Often follow up strategies are required to either minimize losses on trades that miss the mark or up the ante on profitable positions. Ideally, follow up...
TFSA Contribution Levels Raised
Jason Ayres
Announced late April, but effective as of January 1st 2015, Canadians are now entitled to contribute $10,000.00 to their Tax Free Savings Account on a yearly basis, up from $5,500.00 last year. As of now, it makes the total contribution limit $41,000.00. According to news sources, the Liberals are on record opposing this...
Hedging the Canadian Economic Recovery
Patrick Ceresna
On February 24, 2015, Stephan Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada made the following statement: “The negative effects of lower oil prices hit the economy right away, and the various positives—more exports because of a stronger U.S. economy and a lower dollar, and more consumption spending as households spend less on...
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