Yearly Archives: 2013
A Fed Full of Surprises
Richard Croft
Last week we saw something that we haven’t seen in some time: a market that completely misread the actions of the Federal Reserve (Fed)! This is particularly noteworthy in that Fed Chairman Bernanke has been a proponent of transparency, preferring to telegraph his intent to the market long before action is taken. That changed...
Covered Calls on Gold Miners
Richard Croft
Most investors think October is the worst month for stocks. Not so! In reality, September inflicts the most pain on portfolios, although this year… not so much! Even lagging Canadian stocks posted a 0.98% gain in September, although that was but a third of the September return south of the border. So far traders have been...
An Option on the Future of Alternative Energy
Jason Ayres
Adapting to an alternative source of power can be quite cost prohibitive to both businesses and the average household in an economy where every dollar counts. After all, it’s all about returns when it comes to making any investment and making the transition from mainstream energy sources to an alternative is an investment to...
A Blackberry End Game!
Richard Croft
There is little doubt that Blackberry (TMX: BB, Friday’s Close $11.29) is in palliative care. Management has set up a committee and hired two advisory firms to seek “strategic alternatives,” including the possible sale of the company. There is also a sense of urgency as all signs point to a November time line for an end...
A Sweet Spot for Canadian Banks
Richard Croft
Last week the six major Canadian banks all reported better than expected quarterly earnings. The numbers were as follows; Earnings Per Share l Underlying Banks Estimate Actual Price P/E Dividend Yield Bank of Montreal $ 1.68 $ 1.53 $ 66.11 10.61 $ 2.96 4.48% ScotiaBank $ 1.31 $ 1.39 $ 58.50 11.54 $ 2.68 4.58% CIBC $ 2.13 $ 2.29...
The Impact of Changing Demographics
Richard Croft
Over the past couple of weeks, North American retailers have been reporting second quarter earnings. The numbers were not pretty! There was a marked slowdown in retail spending on both sides of the border, particularly in the numbers that came out of giant discount retailers like Wal-Mart and Macys, which reported their numbers...
Why I Like Banks
Richard Croft
Before getting started with this weeks’ blog I need to correct something reported last week. In discussions about US interest rates I talked about the US 10 year Treasury yield and mentioned resistance at 2.5%. That was a misprint, it should have read 2.7%. My apologies. The reason I wanted to raise this – besides wanting...
Will Gold Begin to Glitter Again?
Patrick Ceresna
Gold has been in a material bear market for over 2 years. We have now seen some capitulation selling that has seen gold print below $1200.00 in late June. Since the low, gold has been retracing back to its 50 day moving average, which has been resistance for its entire decline during 2013. After such a prolonged bear market, it...
A Return To Macro Events
Richard Croft
As earnings season winds down, focus will shift away from company specifics onto Fed nuances, tapering timelines and interest rate fears; noise that typically triggers sentiment shifts with an attendant spike in volatility. Not surprisingly, we are seeing signs that the US economy is not as robust as some might have thought....
Stocks for a Higher Interest Rate environment
Richard Croft
Canadian stocks share much with the Toronto Blue Jays in that they pale in comparison to their US counterparts, proving once again just how much our economy relies on commodities, precious metals and energy. Friday was yet another disappointing day weighed down by retreating gold stocks, fallout from Potash’s sub-par earnings...
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